Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-5
CD Ourense vs Barça Atlètic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
SLA
3 - 2
CDO
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
CDO
1 - 0
BUR
42%
29%
29%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1973 |
FCB
2 - 2
CDO
42%
25%
34%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
CDO
1 - 2
LIN
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
CDO
0 - 0
RAY
45%
28%
28%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barça Atlètic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
FCB
2 - 2
TER
67%
21%
12%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
VIN
1 - 1
FCB
47%
27%
26%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1973 |
FCB
2 - 2
CDO
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
FCB
1 - 1
VIL
72%
19%
9%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
VAL
1 - 2
FCB
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |