CD Ourense vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
BAD
2 - 0
CDO
58%
21%
21%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
SDI
1 - 1
CDO
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
CDO
1 - 1
PON
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
OSA
0 - 0
CDO
77%
15%
9%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
CDO
1 - 1
RAC
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
BAR
2 - 0
RUN
67%
18%
15%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
HOS
3 - 2
BAR
60%
20%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
BAR
2 - 0
BAD
61%
20%
20%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
SDI
4 - 2
BAR
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
BAR
1 - 2
PON
36%
29%
35%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |