Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-1
CD Ourense vs CD Badajoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
CDO
2 - 1
PON
66%
23%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
AVI
2 - 0
CDO
35%
31%
34%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
CDB
0 - 1
CDO
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
CDO
1 - 1
LEM
71%
21%
8%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1987 |
CDO
3 - 1
LAL
74%
17%
10%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
CD Badajoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
CDB
1 - 0
SSR
75%
17%
8%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
DAI
2 - 0
CDB
37%
29%
33%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
CDB
0 - 1
CDO
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
CDB
4 - 1
LIN
56%
24%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
PLA
1 - 0
CDB
54%
23%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |