Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 5-6
CD Ourense vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
44.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1960 |
ESP
2 - 1
CDO
75%
15%
10%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
CDO
2 - 0
ESP
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
CDC
5 - 1
CDO
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
CDO
3 - 0
DEP
49%
22%
29%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
AVI
0 - 1
CDO
54%
22%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1960 |
ATH
5 - 0
DEP
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
DEP
3 - 2
ATH
32%
23%
45%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
OVI
2 - 0
ATH
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
ATH
2 - 5
SEV
76%
13%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
ATM
0 - 1
ATH
53%
21%
26%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |