Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-3
CD Ourense vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
LAL
1 - 0
CDO
33%
34%
33%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
CDO
1 - 0
CDU
70%
21%
9%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1988 |
PON
0 - 2
CDO
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
ARE
1 - 1
CDO
34%
34%
32%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
CDO
3 - 0
ATH
33%
30%
37%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
BAR
0 - 0
ARO
51%
26%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
ARO
1 - 2
UPL
51%
26%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 1988 |
ARO
1 - 1
LAL
60%
22%
17%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
PON
0 - 1
ARO
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
ARO
0 - 1
PON
33%
32%
35%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |