CD Ourense vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PPJ
1 - 5
CDO
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
CDO
0 - 1
ULP
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
CAS
0 - 0
CDO
17%
27%
56%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
PPJ
0 - 1
CDO
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
CDO
2 - 0
LEG
26%
27%
46%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
LAN
37%
28%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
UDF
1 - 1
ALC
30%
26%
45%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
UDL
16%
25%
60%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
VEC
1 - 0
ALC
52%
26%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
ATB
33%
29%
38%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |