CD Ourense vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
BAS
2 - 1
CDO
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
CDO
1 - 0
SDI
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
ATB
0 - 2
CDO
45%
26%
30%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
CDO
1 - 0
CON
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
PON
2 - 1
CDO
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
ALA
1 - 4
RSO
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
SPO
3 - 0
ALA
60%
21%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
ALA
3 - 1
BUR
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
RAC
1 - 1
ALA
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
ALA
1 - 1
CEL
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |