CD Ourense vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1961 |
CDO
1 - 0
VAD
46%
23%
32%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
VAD
5 - 0
CDO
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
CDO
1 - 1
RSO
73%
16%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
SSC
1 - 1
CDO
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
CDO
2 - 0
CEL
48%
23%
29%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
PUL
3 - 1
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
CAD
3 - 0
PUL
56%
23%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
PUL
2 - 0
MAL
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
RAY
0 - 1
PUL
48%
23%
29%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
PUL
1 - 2
UDL
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |