UD Ourense vs Gran Peña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
UDO
19%
23%
58%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
UDO
5 - 1
PON
73%
17%
11%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
UDO
18%
22%
60%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
UDO
2 - 1
UMI
80%
14%
7%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
UDO
2 - 1
UDA
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
GRA
3 - 1
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CUL
2 - 1
GRA
33%
25%
42%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
GRA
4 - 0
VER
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
PON
3 - 0
GRA
34%
25%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 0
CDV
79%
13%
7%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |