Ourense B vs Vilar de Barrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ourense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PAL
4 - 1
OUR
51%
20%
29%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
OUR
4 - 2
MUN
31%
21%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
RAN
7 - 0
OUR
60%
18%
21%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
OUR
3 - 2
PIÑ
14%
16%
69%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BAN
6 - 1
OUR
59%
19%
22%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vilar de Barrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 3
PON
41%
22%
38%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
CRE
45%
22%
34%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 0
VIL
56%
20%
24%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
MUN
25%
21%
54%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
RAN
3 - 0
VIL
65%
18%
17%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |