AC Oulu vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
46%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
8º
11º
9º
39
2º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Oulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HJK
3 - 0
OUL
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
OUL
2 - 0
EKE
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 2
OUL
30%
25%
46%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
OUL
1 - 2
SEI
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
SEI
2 - 0
OUL
58%
21%
22%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AUS
4 - 3
ILV
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
ILV
2 - 1
AUS
32%
24%
45%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 2
VAA
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
HAK
4 - 3
ILV
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 0
HJK
35%
26%
40%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |