AC Oulu vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
7º
6º
20
3º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
63% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
37% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Oulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OUL
1 - 1
FCL
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HON
4 - 1
OUL
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
OUL
3 - 1
KOO
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VAA
3 - 0
OUL
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 2
OUL
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ILV
0 - 3
KUO
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 2
HAK
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
ILV
0 - 2
VAA
38%
26%
37%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 0
ILV
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ILV
0 - 0
IFK
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |