Oudenaarde vs Roeselare Daisel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
5º
16º
7º
6
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
8 | 58 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 57 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 52 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 51 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 45 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 45 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 43 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 43 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 41 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 34 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 33 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 30 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 28 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 19 |
16º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
29% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 62% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 31% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oudenaarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ZEL
1 - 2
OUD
51%
22%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
OUD
2 - 0
WES
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OUD
3 - 2
OLS
62%
21%
18%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
APP
5 - 0
OUD
45%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FTR
3 - 2
OUD
19%
20%
61%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Roeselare Daisel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ROD
3 - 2
GUL
34%
26%
41%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KVC
0 - 1
ROD
14%
18%
68%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ROD
2 - 0
RCL
31%
26%
42%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ZUL
2 - 1
ROD
64%
20%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 1
BLA
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |