Otterup vs Marienlyst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
74%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otterup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
OTB
0 - 4
HVI
10%
16%
74%
|
23 | 56 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 5
OTB
9%
15%
76%
|
23 | 6 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
NAE
0 - 2
OTB
35%
24%
42%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
OTB
5 - 1
NAS
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
SLA
2 - 2
OTB
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 1
MID
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
AVA
3 - 0
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
B93
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
KJE
4 - 2
MAR
43%
23%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 3
THI
23%
23%
53%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |