Ottawa Fury vs Richmond Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
NSC
2 - 0
OTT
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 1
OTT
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
OTT
2 - 0
TAM
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
OTT
0 - 3
LOU
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 0
OTT
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Richmond Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 0
RIC
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
RIC
0 - 3
PHU
33%
26%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
PIT
3 - 0
RIC
59%
24%
18%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
3 - 0
RIC
62%
23%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
RIC
2 - 4
ESP
10%
22%
68%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | 0 |