Ottawa Fury vs Minnesota United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
36%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MIN
2 - 3
OTT
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
OTT
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
PTR
0 - 0
OTT
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
OTT
2 - 2
EDM
39%
30%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OTT
1 - 1
IND
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Minnesota United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MIN
2 - 3
OTT
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NYC
1 - 0
MIN
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MIN
1 - 0
RAY
58%
25%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 0
MIN
35%
26%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MIA
1 - 1
MIN
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |