Ottawa Fury vs Minnesota United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
48.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
OTT
26%
28%
46%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
JAC
1 - 3
OTT
32%
28%
41%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
OTT
1 - 0
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TAM
1 - 1
OTT
38%
27%
36%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
OTT
2 - 0
EDM
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Minnesota United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MIN
2 - 2
SAN
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MIN
1 - 0
ATL
59%
23%
17%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
IND
3 - 1
MIN
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MIN
2 - 1
FOR
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MIN
1 - 0
TAM
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |