Ottawa Fury vs Indy Eleven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
32.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
OTT
0 - 0
MIA
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 1
OTT
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
OTT
1 - 2
JAC
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
OTT
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
OTT
2 - 0
TAM
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Indy Eleven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 2
IND
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
RAY
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
OTT
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
IND
5 - 2
JAC
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MIA
2 - 1
IND
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |