Canadian Championship Quarter-finals
Global 2-6
Ottawa Fury vs Edmonton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
OTT
1 - 0
MIN
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
OTT
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
OTT
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
OTT
54%
24%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
OTT
1 - 2
IND
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Edmonton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
EDM
3 - 2
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
EDM
1 - 1
CAR
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
JAC
3 - 1
EDM
42%
29%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
EDM
2 - 1
ATL
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
EDM
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |