Ottawa Fury vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
JAC
0 - 2
OTT
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
EDM
1 - 0
OTT
48%
27%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
OTT
0 - 1
RAY
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
NYC
2 - 1
OTT
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
OTT
1 - 1
RAY
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 3
MIA
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
WHU
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 1
TAM
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
MIN
5 - 1
CAR
51%
25%
23%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |