Ottawa Fury vs Philadelphia Union II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 0
OTT
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
OTT
2 - 0
AFC
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
PNN
0 - 1
OTT
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
OTT
0 - 0
NYO
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
OTT
0 - 3
CIN
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Philadelphia Union II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
IND
1 - 2
PHU
70%
18%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
PHU
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PHU
4 - 1
RIC
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LOU
3 - 1
PHU
65%
22%
14%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PHU
1 - 1
CIN
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |