OTP vs Kuopion Elo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-81%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
10º
10º
23
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
OTP
0 - 3
FFJ
14%
19%
68%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
GBK
2 - 0
OTP
43%
23%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 2
OTP
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OTP
1 - 3
ROP
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 0
OTP
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kuopion Elo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KUO
4 - 2
JBK
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FCM
4 - 1
KUO
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KUO
0 - 0
OLS
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
JBK
0 - 2
KUO
41%
21%
39%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KUO
2 - 0
GBK
27%
20%
52%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +4 |