OTP vs Kuopion Elo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
46.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-88%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
12º
6º
19
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
OTP
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
OTP
4 - 3
GBK
38%
21%
41%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
OTP
0 - 3
FCV
54%
20%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OLS
1 - 2
OTP
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
OTP
4 - 1
FCK
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Kuopion Elo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
KUO
2 - 1
VIF
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
KUO
3 - 1
FCV
43%
22%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GBK
2 - 0
KUO
32%
21%
47%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
KUO
6 - 1
KUO
83%
12%
6%
|
36 | 76 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
KIN
0 - 3
KUO
13%
17%
71%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |