OTP vs Vaajakoski analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-88%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
12º
6º
45
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OLS
1 - 2
OTP
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
OTP
4 - 1
FCK
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
JJK
3 - 0
OTP
85%
11%
4%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
OTP
1 - 0
KAJ
65%
18%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCV
1 - 1
OTP
56%
20%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vaajakoski
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
JJK
1 - 0
FCV
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
KER
4 - 1
FCV
84%
11%
6%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCV
1 - 2
JBK
47%
23%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ROP
1 - 0
FCV
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FCV
2 - 4
NAR
49%
23%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |