Otago University vs Dunedin City Royals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
38.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
NAF
1 - 2
OTU
23%
19%
58%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GIA
0 - 1
OTU
21%
18%
61%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GER
1 - 3
OTU
12%
15%
74%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ROW
1 - 0
OTU
31%
21%
49%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MOS
0 - 4
OTU
17%
17%
66%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dunedin City Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SCR
6 - 0
ROW
52%
20%
28%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SCR
4 - 1
WNK
59%
19%
23%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SCR
1 - 0
NSF
52%
20%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SCR
4 - 5
CAS
9%
15%
76%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GIA
1 - 2
SCR
31%
21%
49%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |