Otago University vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
71.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
OTU
3 - 2
SCR
40%
21%
39%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
NAF
1 - 2
OTU
23%
19%
58%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GIA
0 - 1
OTU
21%
18%
61%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GER
1 - 3
OTU
12%
15%
74%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ROW
1 - 0
OTU
31%
21%
49%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
AUC
2 - 1
WCR
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WES
1 - 1
AUC
16%
20%
64%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
AUC
2 - 2
BIR
75%
15%
10%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AUC
1 - 0
ECB
82%
12%
7%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CMB
1 - 4
AUC
8%
13%
79%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | -1 |