Otago United vs Waikato FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
AUC
3 - 0
OTA
76%
15%
8%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
OTA
1 - 0
CAN
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
OTA
2 - 0
HAW
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 3
OTA
61%
20%
18%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
OTA
0 - 6
WAI
21%
24%
54%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Waikato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 3
WAI
60%
21%
20%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
WAI
1 - 4
WAI
21%
24%
56%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TEA
3 - 0
WAI
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
5 - 0
WAI
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
WAI
1 - 5
AUC
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |