Otago United vs Waikato FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
OTA
1 - 1
MAN
32%
24%
45%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CAN
2 - 0
OTA
61%
22%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
OTA
2 - 2
WAI
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
WAI
4 - 0
OTA
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
OTA
3 - 1
TEA
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Waikato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
WAI
2 - 3
AUC
28%
26%
47%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
WAI
4 - 2
WAI
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
WAI
2 - 3
TEA
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
OTA
2 - 2
WAI
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
WAI
1 - 2
AUC
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |