Otago United vs Waikato FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 0
OTA
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CAN
1 - 2
OTA
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
OTA
0 - 1
AUC
18%
24%
58%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
OTA
1 - 3
HAW
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
TEA
1 - 1
OTA
80%
14%
7%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Waikato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 0
WAI
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
3 - 1
CAN
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
AUC
3 - 0
WAI
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
0 - 1
HAW
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
WAI
2 - 0
TEA
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |