Otago United vs Team Wellington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
56.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
OTA
1 - 4
WAI
12%
18%
70%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
OTA
1 - 3
HAW
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
OTA
1 - 4
CAN
23%
25%
52%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
AUC
3 - 1
OTA
85%
10%
4%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 4
OTA
52%
22%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
TEA
2 - 3
AUC
37%
26%
38%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
AUC
3 - 2
TEA
63%
19%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 6
TEA
21%
21%
58%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
TEA
1 - 0
WAI
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 2
TEA
53%
22%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |