Otago United vs Team Wellington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
51%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
OTA
1 - 0
HAW
35%
25%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
AUC
5 - 0
OTA
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 3
OTA
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
OTA
1 - 3
CAN
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
WAI
0 - 1
OTA
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
AUC
3 - 1
TEA
64%
19%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 2
TEA
49%
23%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CAN
1 - 4
TEA
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
TEA
2 - 1
WAI
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 1
TEA
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |