Otago United vs Team Wellington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
57.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
WAI
3 - 0
OTA
81%
14%
6%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
OTA
3 - 3
WAI
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 0
OTA
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CAN
1 - 2
OTA
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
OTA
0 - 1
AUC
18%
24%
58%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
AUC
1 - 3
TEA
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
TEA
2 - 5
HAW
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
TEA
3 - 2
MAN
54%
23%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 0
TEA
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
WAI
2 - 0
TEA
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |