Otago United vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
WAI
5 - 0
OTA
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
OTA
1 - 2
TEA
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
OTA
0 - 2
WAI
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
AUC
3 - 0
OTA
76%
15%
8%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
OTA
1 - 0
CAN
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 5
HAW
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
9 - 1
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 7
WAI
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TEA
2 - 0
MAN
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 3
WAI
60%
21%
20%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |