Otago United vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CAN
2 - 0
OTA
61%
22%
18%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
OTA
2 - 2
WAI
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
WAI
4 - 0
OTA
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
OTA
3 - 1
TEA
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
OTA
1 - 0
HAW
35%
25%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 1
AUC
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
HAW
2 - 2
MAN
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CAN
6 - 0
MAN
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 3
WAI
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
WAI
3 - 2
MAN
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |