Otago United vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
OTA
2 - 1
CAN
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
AUC
2 - 0
OTA
84%
11%
5%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
OTA
2 - 2
WAI
13%
23%
65%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
TEA
3 - 1
OTA
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
HAW
2 - 1
OTA
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
MAN
3 - 0
TEA
46%
23%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CAN
0 - 1
MAN
36%
24%
40%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 5
CAN
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
WAI
4 - 5
MAN
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 2
WAI
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |