Otago United vs Canterbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
OTA
2 - 0
HAW
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 3
OTA
61%
20%
18%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
OTA
0 - 6
WAI
21%
24%
54%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TEA
2 - 2
OTA
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
OTA
1 - 2
WAI
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 0
TEA
40%
25%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
HAW
3 - 0
CAN
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
5 - 0
WAI
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 4
CAN
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 0
WAI
22%
24%
55%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +2 |