Otago United vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
60.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 0
OTA
63%
21%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
OTA
2 - 3
WAI
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
OTA
2 - 4
TEA
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
WAI
3 - 0
OTA
81%
14%
6%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
OTA
3 - 3
WAI
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AUC
5 - 0
WAI
78%
14%
7%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AUC
5 - 0
MAN
90%
7%
3%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
AUC
2 - 2
KOL
87%
9%
4%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
KOL
2 - 7
AUC
14%
20%
66%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 3
AUC
53%
23%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |