Otago United vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
57.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
OTA
1 - 3
HAW
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
TEA
1 - 1
OTA
80%
14%
7%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
WAI
3 - 1
OTA
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
OTA
2 - 3
MAN
22%
24%
55%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
OTA
2 - 1
CAN
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 1
AUC
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
PVS
0 - 2
AUC
13%
19%
68%
|
67 | 7 | 60 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
AUC
3 - 1
HAW
75%
15%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
TEA
2 - 1
AUC
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2008 |
AUC
1 - 2
WAI
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |