Osvaldo Cruz vs Taboão da Serra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osvaldo Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 4
OSV
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
5 - 0
OSV
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
OSV
2 - 4
CAP
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OSV
0 - 1
BAT
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
SER
2 - 0
OSV
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Taboão da Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
TAB
0 - 3
GUA
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
TAB
85%
10%
5%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
TAB
1 - 2
BEB
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
TAB
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 0
TAB
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |