Osvaldo Cruz vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osvaldo Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
OSV
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 1
OSV
61%
21%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
OSV
3 - 2
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
OSV
4 - 1
RIO
36%
26%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
AUD
2 - 0
OSV
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 0
SAO
43%
25%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
4 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 2
SAO
29%
25%
47%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 2
MAR
25%
22%
52%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |