Osvaldo Cruz vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osvaldo Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 0
OSV
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 0
OSV
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
OSV
1 - 0
GUA
24%
24%
53%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
VFC
4 - 1
OSV
54%
23%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
OSV
2 - 2
ITA
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
AME
1 - 0
NOR
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
NOR
3 - 1
UNI
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
GRE
0 - 1
NOR
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 5
MOG
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
NOR
60%
21%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |