Osvaldo Cruz vs Lemense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osvaldo Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
OSV
64%
20%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
OSV
2 - 0
CAT
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BEB
1 - 2
OSV
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
OSV
1 - 0
BAT
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
OSV
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LEM
0 - 1
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
BAT
2 - 1
LEM
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LEM
0 - 0
FRA
19%
23%
58%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ECN
3 - 1
LEM
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
LEM
2 - 2
CAT
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |