Osvaldo Cruz vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osvaldo Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
FRA
2 - 2
OSV
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
OSV
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
OSV
0 - 1
BEB
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
OSV
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
OSV
2 - 2
TAB
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
IND
3 - 0
CAP
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
IND
50%
23%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
IND
79%
13%
8%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
IND
1 - 2
TAU
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FRA
1 - 0
IND
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |