Osvaldo Cruz vs Francana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osvaldo Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
LEM
1 - 0
OSV
19%
23%
58%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
OSV
1 - 1
PEN
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
CAT
0 - 1
OSV
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
OSV
0 - 1
BEB
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BAT
0 - 1
OSV
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 3
ECN
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BAT
1 - 2
FRA
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 1
FRA
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 0
LEM
73%
17%
9%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BEB
1 - 2
FRA
23%
24%
54%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |