Osvaldo Cruz vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osvaldo Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
OSV
1 - 2
NOR
34%
25%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 0
OSV
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 0
OSV
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
OSV
1 - 0
GUA
24%
24%
53%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
VFC
4 - 1
OSV
54%
23%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 4
LIN
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 1
CAT
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
ATL
52%
23%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 2
SAO
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 2
FLA
54%
23%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |