Ostrovets vs Torpedo Zhodino Reservas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
5.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
11º
11º
18
8º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 77 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 73 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 69 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
5º
|
39.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 59 |
6º
|
65% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 52 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 51 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 50 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 47 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 46 |
11º
|
44% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 35 |
12º
|
59% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 34 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 30 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 29 |
15º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 25 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 23 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
18 | 22 |
18º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 28% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 72% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostrovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
OFC
43%
24%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
OFC
0 - 0
FBG
59%
20%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ABF
1 - 3
OFC
11%
16%
72%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
OFC
3 - 2
FCS
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
DMM
4 - 3
OFC
6%
10%
84%
|
52 | 7 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Torpedo Zhodino Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
TZH
0 - 2
MOL
12%
19%
69%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
TZH
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
TZH
2 - 1
MKK
9%
17%
75%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FCN
7 - 1
TZH
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
TZH
1 - 1
VOL
14%
21%
66%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |