Ostrovets vs Shakhtyor 2 Soligorsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
11º
11º
22
11º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 77 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 73 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 69 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
5º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 59 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 52 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 50 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 50 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 47 |
10º
|
34% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 46 |
11º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 35 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 34 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 32 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 29 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 23 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 23 |
17º
|
31% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 23 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostrovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
OFC
1 - 0
ZOR
29%
25%
47%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
GOM
2 - 1
OFC
59%
22%
20%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
OFC
2 - 4
FKA
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LID
4 - 0
OFC
23%
22%
55%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
BAT
3 - 1
OFC
76%
15%
10%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Shakhtyor 2 Soligorsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 2
MOL
44%
23%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LID
3 - 1
SHA
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
DNP
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FCN
1 - 3
SHA
54%
21%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 5
ZHY
43%
23%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |