Ostrovets vs FK Smorgon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostrovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
ORS
1 - 3
OFC
21%
21%
58%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
OFC
1 - 2
SHA
28%
22%
50%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
OFC
3 - 1
OSI
80%
13%
7%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
NAF
3 - 0
OFC
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
DIM
1 - 2
OFC
24%
18%
59%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 1
MKK
52%
25%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 3
FKS
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ORS
1 - 1
FCS
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SHC
2 - 5
FCS
7%
13%
81%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 0
OSI
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |