Ostrovets vs BATE Reservas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
11º
9º
36
2º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 76 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 72 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 72 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 66 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 62 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 57 |
6º
|
39.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 50 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 50 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 50 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 48 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 47 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 38 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 37 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 36 |
14º
|
38.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 27 |
15º
|
40.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 25 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 23 |
17º
|
37% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 17 |
18º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostrovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 3
OFC
26%
23%
52%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ZOR
0 - 1
OFC
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MOL
1 - 1
OFC
61%
20%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OFC
1 - 0
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
MKK
3 - 1
OFC
68%
18%
14%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
BATE Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
BAT
0 - 1
MOL
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
BAT
29%
24%
47%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
MKK
1 - 0
BAT
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 0
FCN
29%
23%
48%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 1
BAT
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |