Ostrovets vs ABFF Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+86%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
11º
11º
33
8º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
19 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostrovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 1
OFC
11%
17%
73%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
OFC
0 - 5
ORS
58%
21%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LID
0 - 1
OFC
37%
24%
39%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OFC
0 - 3
DMI
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GOM
4 - 0
OFC
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
ABFF Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ABF
0 - 1
MOL
16%
20%
64%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 2
ABF
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCN
1 - 0
ABF
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ABF
0 - 2
VOL
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
TZH
0 - 3
ABF
69%
16%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +3 |